Modesto, CA
Source:
Affordability Score: 42/100
Population: 255,354 · 7 ZIP codes
The affordability dashboard for Modesto, CA aggregates Census ACS 5-Year Estimates across 7 ZIP codes covering 255,354 residents, then layers in county-level federal data to produce an overall grade of D (42/100). The headline inputs are median household income of $78,402, median home value of $432,386, median rent of $1,665 per month, and 19.3% of adults holding a bachelor's degree or higher. These four metrics alone explain most of the variance between city dashboards.
Cross-agency feeds widen the picture beyond Census demographics. HUD publishes a Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom in this county at $1,758 per month (studio $1,255, 1BR $1,356, 3BR $2,442, 4BR $2,823). Department of Labor data lists infant center-based childcare at $16,449 per year, consuming 21% of the local median household income.
Reading the overall grade requires reading all seven dimensions together. The score weights Income 20%, Safety 20%, Housing 15%, Rent 15%, Education 10%, Commute 10%, and Childcare 10%, with each sub-score benchmarked against national percentiles rather than state averages — so the grade is genuinely comparable across any city in the country. Pressure points are education, housing, commute, childcare. Unemployment currently reads 7.8% and poverty 14.4% — numbers worth keeping alongside the headline grade.
Score Breakdown
Income & Employment
Housing
Fair Market Rents by Bedroom
Safety
Education & Family
Childcare Costs
What This Means
Modesto, CA receives an overall affordability grade of D (42/100), aggregated from 7 ZIP codes with a total population of 255,354. Challenges include education and housing and commute and childcare. Data was unavailable for safety — these dimensions were excluded from the overall score.
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Official Data Resources
Data as of 2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Estimates. Source: HUD Fair Market Rents. Source: FBI Uniform Crime Report. Source: DOL National Database of Childcare Prices. Verify with HUD →
Read our methodology to see how this data is sourced, computed, and verified.