D

Modesto, CA

Source:

Affordability Score: 42/100

Population: 255,354 · 7 ZIP codes

The affordability dashboard for Modesto, CA aggregates Census ACS 5-Year Estimates across 7 ZIP codes covering 255,354 residents, then layers in county-level federal data to produce an overall grade of D (42/100). The headline inputs are median household income of $78,402, median home value of $432,386, median rent of $1,665 per month, and 19.3% of adults holding a bachelor's degree or higher. These four metrics alone explain most of the variance between city dashboards.

Cross-agency feeds widen the picture beyond Census demographics. HUD publishes a Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom in this county at $1,758 per month (studio $1,255, 1BR $1,356, 3BR $2,442, 4BR $2,823). Department of Labor data lists infant center-based childcare at $16,449 per year, consuming 21% of the local median household income.

Reading the overall grade requires reading all seven dimensions together. The score weights Income 20%, Safety 20%, Housing 15%, Rent 15%, Education 10%, Commute 10%, and Childcare 10%, with each sub-score benchmarked against national percentiles rather than state averages — so the grade is genuinely comparable across any city in the country. Pressure points are education, housing, commute, childcare. Unemployment currently reads 7.8% and poverty 14.4% — numbers worth keeping alongside the headline grade.

Score Breakdown

Income B-
$78,402
Median household income
Education F
19.3%
Bachelor's degree or higher
Housing F
5.5x
Home value $432,386 vs income
Commute F
30 min
Average commute time
Rent C
$1,758/mo
2BR fair market rent (27% of income)
Safety N/A
N/A
Violent crime rate (county)
Childcare F
$16,449/yr
Center-based infant care (21% of income)

Income & Employment

Median Income
$78,402
▲ 26% vs national
Per Capita Income
$34,345
Unemployment Rate
7.8%
Poverty Rate
14.4%

Housing

Median Home Value
$432,386
▲ 57% vs national
Median Rent
$1,665/mo
Owner Occupied
58.5%
2BR Fair Market Rent
$1,758/mo
▲ 47% vs national

Fair Market Rents by Bedroom

Studio
$1,255
1BR
$1,356
2BR
$1,758
3BR
$2,442
4BR
$2,823

Safety

Violent Crime Rate
Data Source
FBI UCR (county-level)

Education & Family

Bachelor's Degree+
19.3%
▼ 11 ppt vs national
High School+
48.3%
Median Age
34.9
Avg. Commute
30 min
▲ 4 min vs national

Childcare Costs

Infant (Center)
$16,449/yr
21% of income
Toddler (Center)
$11,353/yr
Preschool (Center)
$8,894/yr
School-Age (Center)
$4,356/yr

What This Means

Modesto, CA receives an overall affordability grade of D (42/100), aggregated from 7 ZIP codes with a total population of 255,354. Challenges include education and housing and commute and childcare. Data was unavailable for safety — these dimensions were excluded from the overall score.

Nearby City Dashboards

Explore Modesto ZIP Codes
View all 7 ZIP codes with demographics and individual scorecards
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What are common questions about this dashboard?

Is Modesto, CA affordable?
Modesto, CA receives an overall affordability grade of D (42/100) based on Census, HUD, FBI, and DOL data. Median household income is $78,402. Median home value is $432,386.
What is the cost of living in Modesto?
Key cost metrics: Median rent $1,665/mo. 2BR fair market rent $1,758/mo. Infant childcare $16,449/yr. Median home value $432,386.
How is the affordability score calculated?
The score evaluates 7 dimensions weighted by importance: Income (20%), Safety (20%), Housing (15%), Rent (15%), Education (10%), Commute (10%), and Childcare (10%). Each metric is compared against national percentile benchmarks from Census, HUD, FBI, and DOL data.

Data as of 2024. Source: U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Estimates. Source: HUD Fair Market Rents. Source: FBI Uniform Crime Report. Source: DOL National Database of Childcare Prices. Verify with HUD →